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  1. Jan 28, 2023 · Still, looking back at the last decade, Liverpool, Chelsea and even Manchester United won the title. Also, Leicester City pulled off the most unpredictable title in the history of all European soccer leagues, winning the league after starting as relegation favorites.

  2. Aug 17, 2016 · Turns out the English Premier League is a lot more unpredictable than Spain’s La Liga, which could be why it attracts so much funding.

    • Ian Mchale
  3. Aug 25, 2024 · Below, we explore the top five football leagues where the outcome is often the hardest to predict. 1. English Premier League (EPL) The English Premier League is widely recognized as one of the most unpredictable leagues in football.

    • Key Findings
    • Title-deciding Round
    • Competition at The Top End
    • No. of Different Champions in The Top Five Leagues
    • No. of Different Sides to Finish in The top-four
    • Defending Champions vs Promoted Sides
    • Top Three vs Bottom Five
    La Liga and Premier League have been responsible for producing the most exciting title races in the last decade. 4 of the last 10 title races in both leagues have been decided on the final match-day.
    The average gap between the champions and the runners-up has been the lowest in La Liga at 6.5 points during the past decade.
    However, the Spanish league is also responsible for the biggest gap between the top and the bottom. On average, the bottom-five sides in La Liga manage to pick up only 7.4 points against the top-th...
    It is most difficult for teams to break into the top-4 in the Premier League. Only 7 different sides have managed to do so in the last ten years. At least 9 sides have managed to achieve the same f...

    Every soccer fan loves a title race that goes on till the last very last game of the season. One important aspect of a competitive league is a title race which is undecided until the very last. This doesn’t happen often, but when it does, such seasons leave an imprint on the fans for decades. And for this reason, Manchester City’s last minute title...

    To further analyze how difficult it is for clubs to win the various leagues and how crowded it is at the top of various leagues, we compared the end-of-season points tally of sides finishing in the 1st, 2nd and the 5th position in each league during the past decade. 1. Like our first analysis, La Liga and Premier League lead the way when we look at...

    Our next criteria is to check the variety among winners and the teams finishing in European places in various leagues. This tells us about how many different sides have been able to challenge for the top places in various leagues. Thus, in this section, we compare the number of teams that have won the different leagues and the number of teams that ...

    After comparing the variety among title winners, we shift our focus on the competition for the top-four places in different leagues. 1. There is hardly any difference between different leagues when you look at the data for the last five years. 2. However, when you look at the ten-year comparison, the number of Premier League sides has stayed intact...

    One can argue that ahead of a new season, the defending champions are the strongest side in the league and the recently promoted sides are weakest ones. Hence, to analyze the gap between the strongest and weakest sides in these leagues, we decided to look at the betting odds of all home games played by defending champions against the promoted sides...

    In this section, we further dissect the gap between the sides at both ends of various leagues. In order to do so, we looked at all the games played between the top-three and the bottom-five sides from the last ten seasons in all five leagues. The following graph shows points picked up by the bottom five sides against the eventual champions and the ...

  4. May 24, 2021 · What fleetingly threatened to be the most unpredictable Premier League season in history ended in the most predictable way possible, with the four richest clubs safely ensconced in the top four...

  5. Aug 17, 2016 · According to algorithms in SAM, our Sports Analytics Machine at the University of Salford, the probability of Chelsea finishing ninth or lower in that final league table was around 0.2% or 500-1...

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  7. Sep 11, 2024 · Let's begin with the league that has had the most chaotic start to 2024-25, Serie A, which has been a bit of a nightmare for Superbru players thus far. On average, each result has been correctly predicted by just 38% of the community.

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