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What is the Doomsday Equation?
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What is Brandon Carter's 'Doomsday argument'?
The doomsday argument (DA), or Carter catastrophe, is a probabilistic argument that claims to predict the future population of the human species based on an estimation of the number of humans born to date.
Jun 28, 2019 · The most mind-boggling controversy in the contemporary philosophy of science is the “doomsday argument,” a claim that a mathematical formula can predict how long the human race will survive....
What is the Doomsday Argument? The Doomsday Argument is a thought-provoking idea that tries to guess when humans might no longer exist based on math and the idea that we are probably not living in a very special time in human history.
Feb 22, 2004 · The Doomsday Equation, also known as the Drake Equation, is a mathematical formula that attempts to estimate the number of active, communicative extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. It takes into account factors such as the rate of star formation, the number of stars with planets, and the probability of life developing on those planets.
The formula gave 2.7 billion as the 1960 world population and predicted that population growth would become infinite by Friday, November 13, 2026 – von Foerster's 115th birthday anniversary – a prediction that earned it the name "the Doomsday Equation."
Jan 8, 2016 · This chapter provides a brief version of the mathematician Brandon Carter's “doomsday argument”, a probabilistic argument that attempts to predict the future lifetime of the human race given an estimate of the total number of humans born thus far.
Their so-called ‘Dooms-day’ emerged from either progressive degradation of a finite resource or faster-than-exponential growth of an increasingly resource-use efficient popula-tion, though what constitutes this resource was not made explicit.