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Apr 21, 2024 · Acknowledging doubt, gathering information, limiting choices, weighing pros and cons, and committing to the made decision clear your path forward. When in doubt, these strategies empower you to act confidently, ensuring that you take a step toward realizing your aspirations and values. Do not forget, that making a decision is crucial, no matter ...
Dec 20, 2023 · Devise alternatives. This exercise is aimed at helping you reduce your emotional dependence on the outcomes of uncertain situations. First, call to mind as many as three such situations that you are going to face in the upcoming month, thinking about the worst that might happen (ie, failure, rejection, disappointment).
- Arie Kruglanski
For example, Stefánsson & Bradley (2015) apply expected utility theory using outcomes that include facts about objective chances; they can therefore distinguish between an outcome in which B is not harmed, and there was no chance of B’s being harmed, from an outcome in which B is not harmed despite facing a significant objective risk. They argue that it could be rational to prefer the ...
Jan 19, 2022 · The power of doubt. While a shift towards more authentically ‘human’ leaders was well underway by 2019, Covid-19 has accelerated the acceptance of doubt as an integral part of leadership. ‘During the pandemic, leaders made some of the thorniest decisions in their career, despite having limited knowledge,’ says Michael.
Oct 20, 2022 · In situations of risk, we know the options, we know the outcomes, and we know the probabilities of those outcomes. In a risky situation a person can use probability theory to make a decision. Now a person can still deviate from what is prescribed by the probability theory—a person can be a thrill seeker.
That means that just because someone achieved a good outcome, that doesn’t mean that they necessarily made a good decision, and just because someone achieved a bad outcome, that doesn’t mean that they necessarily made a bad decision. For example, someone can make the best possible decision in a certain situation, and still achieve a bad outcome due to an issue that was impossible to predict.
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Jan 4, 2024 · For example, Magnani and Zucchella (2018) understand uncertainty as, at best, the impossibility of assigning objective probabilities to every possible known outcome, and, at worst, not being able to do so to collections of those outcomes. Hodgson (2011) and others (e.g., Etner et al., 2012; Feduzi et al., 2012; Fontana & Gerrard, 2004; Hastie ...
