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    • Understanding P-Values and Statistical Significance
      • When you perform a statistical test, a p-value helps you determine the significance of your results in relation to the null hypothesis. The null hypothesis (H0) states no relationship exists between the two variables being studied (one variable does not affect the other).
      www.simplypsychology.org/p-value.html
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  2. Oct 13, 2023 · A p-value, or probability value, is a number describing how likely it is that your data would have occurred by random chance (i.e., that the null hypothesis is true). The level of statistical significance is often expressed as a p-value between 0 and 1.

    • Effect Size

      A lower p-value is sometimes interpreted as meaning there is...

    • What Is The Null Hypothesis?
    • P Values Are Not An Error Rate
    • What Is The True Error Rate?

    P values are directly connected to the null hypothesis. So, we need to cover that first! In all hypothesis tests, the researchers are testing an effect of some sort. The effect can be the effectiveness of a new vaccination, the durability of a new product, and so on. There is some benefit or difference that the researchers hope to identify. However...

    Unfortunately, P values are frequently misinterpreted. A common mistake is that they represent the likelihood of rejecting a null hypothesis that is actually true (Type I error). The idea that P values are the probability of making a mistake is WRONG! You can read a blog post I wrote to learn why P values are misinterpreted so frequently. You can’t...

    The difference between the correct and incorrect interpretation is not just a matter of wording. There is a fundamental difference in the amount of evidence against the null hypothesis that each definition implies. The P value for our medication study is 0.03. If you interpret that P value as a 3% chance of making a mistake by rejecting the null hy...

  3. Sep 25, 2024 · A p-value, or probability value, is a number describing the likelihood of obtaining the observed data under the null hypothesis of a statistical test. The p-value serves as an alternative...

    • Brian Beers
    • 2 min
  4. Sep 23, 2024 · A p-value is the probability of obtaining results at least as extreme as those observed, assuming that the null hypothesis is true. In our blood pressure example, the p-value would answer the question: If the medication truly had no effect (null hypothesis), what’s the probability we would see a reduction in blood pressure as large as (or ...

  5. A p value is used in hypothesis testing to help you support or reject the null hypothesis. The p value is the evidence against a null hypothesis. The smaller the p-value, the stronger the evidence that you should reject the null hypothesis.

  6. Apr 9, 2019 · A p-value indicates how believable the null hypothesis is, given the sample data. Specifically, assuming the null hypothesis is true, the p-value tells us the probability of obtaining an effect at least as large as the one we actually observed in the sample data.

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