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      • Based on the data, there is no large advantage for passing or running on 1st and less than 10. However, on 1st & 10’s, 1st & 15’s, and 1st & 20’s, it is far more advantageous to pass than run, with passes having a success rate at least 10% greater than rushing success rate.
      bestballstats.com/2021/10/31/pass-or-run-a-guide-for-nfl-play-calling/
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  2. 17 hours ago · On Wednesday, the NFL’s football operations department released an analysis saying that passing yards per game peaked at a league record of more than 480 yards per game in the 2015 and ’16 ...

  3. 1 day ago · The NFL isn’t going back to old-school, smashmouth running football. Even though rushing yards are up and passing numbers are down over the first three weeks of the season, it’s too soon to call it a new trend. “It’s still early with the sample size,” Eagles coach Nick Sirianni said. “But it is something that we looked into because ...

  4. 1 day ago · NFL teams are averaging 119.5 yards rushing per game, up from 112.7 last season. But the league average was 121.6 yards per game in 2022. Teams actually aren’t running more; they’re just ...

  5. The break-even WP—where pass plays start to have a higher EPA than run plays—was 13% in 2019. Theoretically, at this WP, pass plays became sufficiently unpredictable such that passing was more effective than running. Pass play percentage decreases as WP increases.

  6. Oct 31, 2021 · Based on the data, there is no large advantage for passing or running on 1st and less than 10. However, on 1st & 10’s, 1st & 15’s, and 1st & 20’s, it is far more advantageous to pass than run, with passes having a success rate at least 10% greater than rushing success rate.

  7. Jul 26, 2019 · Passing is more efficient than running and leads to more points. The most obvious evidence that passing is more efficient than running is simply that pass attempts average more yards than...

  8. Why don’t teams pass more? Does the value of passing diminish as you throw more often? Also, does passing efficiency increase if you have a more even play distribution? So we asked...

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