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Jan 11, 2024 · Over the past 20 years, when dome/warm teams have traveled to play a playoff game with a temperature below 32 degrees, they are 11-13-1 against the spread — just barely below .500, or not...
Aug 17, 2022 · According to Kevin, high wind is the most impactful weather event that we see in the NFL. When sustained winds get to 20+ MPH, there are significant impacts to both the passing and kicking game. As passing becomes less effective, teams generally choose to run the ball instead.
Jan 19, 2024 · The good news? It appears that by Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET, when the Chiefs and Bills play, temperatures will be above zero, and there won’t be any snow falling.
- Wind
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According to Kevin, high wind is the most impactful weather event that we see in the NFL. When sustained winds get to 20+ MPH, there are significant impacts to both the passing and kicking game. As passing becomes less effective, teams generally choose to run the ball instead. This creates a clock-winding, low-scoring game. Windy conditions are ide...
Kevin states that light rain or drizzle only minimally impacts NFL games, but heavy rain can have bigger consequences. As the ball gets soaked and slippery, we typically see an increase in turnovers, both from fumbles and interceptions. The passing game is impacted, with passes sailing off-target and wide receivers dropping balls they would normall...
Roth notes that a snowy field can lead to a lot of slipping and sliding and tends to slow play. However, this slower pace can actually be an advantage for quarterbacks and the passing game, as it slows the pass rush and the reaction times of defensive backs. This gives the quarterback extra time to make the right reads and throws. As such, while he...
Hot weather is a common issue across the NFL, especially when playing in more humid environments like Tampa or Miami. Kevin Roth explains that the hot weather can really take its toll on players towards the end of games, especially as defense as fatigue sets in. Analyzing the data, the Miami Dolphinsdeal with the highest average temperatures. The s...
Cold weather games are often in the spotlight towards the end of the season, especially throughout the playoffs. But, despite the attention these games get, the numbers in cold weather games are not dramatically different from games played in nicer weather, Roth details. In fact, there’s statistically only a slightly negative impact to scoring when...
- Action Network
Apr 26, 2023 · In this section, we will explore whether temperature has much of an effect on NFL game scores. Graph showing point outputs across a wide range of game temperatures.
- Eric Tyler
Temperatures near 70 rising to the lower 80s pregame, then rising to the mid 80s during the game, and mid to lower 80s postgame. There is inclement weather expected for the following games: Green...
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Sep 4, 2024 · NFL weather effects at a glance: • Most weather only has light to moderate effects on NFL outcomes. • Wind is the most reliable weather condition to account for due to the sample size...
