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1. • • Evergrande's crisis is a so-called "gray rhino" event - a term used to describe an obvious, probable, impactful threat that gives people a choice to respond - as opposed to an unforeseeable "black swan", according to Rory Green, the Head of China and Asia Research at investment advisory firm TS Lombard.
     www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-59605130

     Evergrande: China's efforts to contain its Lehman moment - BBC

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   Is Evergrande's crisis a 'Gray Rhino' event?

   • Evergrande's crisis is a so-called "gray rhino" event - a term used to describe an obvious, probable, impactful threat that gives people a choice to respond - as opposed to an unforeseeable "black swan", according to Rory Green, the Head of China and Asia Research at investment advisory firm TS Lombard.

   Evergrande: China's efforts to contain its Lehman moment - BBC

   www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-59605130

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   What is a Grey Rhino?

   • A Grey Rhino is a “highly probable, high impact yet neglected threat … grey rhinos are not random surprises but occur after a series of warnings and visible evidence,” Grey Rhino is a two-tonne thing with its horns pointed our way and its massive weight bearing down on us. We’ve a choice to do something about it or not.

   Black Swan Vs Grey Rhino | XANARA

   www.xanaradvisors.com/black-swan-vs-grey-rhino/

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   Is real estate a big Gray Rhino?

   • Also in fall 2017, China’s top regulator mentioned real estate as a big gray rhino. But in that same speech, he also talked about financial regulation, fintech, and the internet. That was when policy changes and crackdowns on financial internet companies got into gear.

   Gray rhinos and risk awareness in China and the U.S. - The China Project

   thechinaproject.com/2022/10/21/gray-rhinos-and-risk-awareness-in-china-and-the-u-s-qa-with-michele-wucker/

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   What's going on with Gray Rhino?

   • Gray rhinos look different from every perspective, but three interrelated issues have been going on for a while. One is financial fragility, which includes these asset bubbles. Then there’s climate change, and its potential impacts on the financial system and on everything else.

   Gray rhinos and risk awareness in China and the U.S. - The China Project

   thechinaproject.com/2022/10/21/gray-rhinos-and-risk-awareness-in-china-and-the-u-s-qa-with-michele-wucker/

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   Is a Gray Rhino a black swan?

   • Quentin Webb: The gray rhino is a term popularized by a writer called Michelle Wucker and effectively the gray rhino is a big, obvious risk that's just lumbering straight towards you and you'd somehow don't deal with it. It's not a black swan, so something you couldn't extrapolate from your existing models, that was a surprise until you saw it.

   China's Evergrande Crisis - The Journal. - WSJ Podcasts

   www.wsj.com/podcasts/the-journal/china-evergrande-crisis/0f3eb57d-5e1b-4694-87e0-0293e321df8b

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   Is Evergrande running out of money?

   • Evergrande built homes for China's growing middle class for more than two decades. Now, the property developer is running out of money. WSJ's Quentin Webb explains how years of piling on debt brought Evergrande to a crisis point, and what its potential collapse could mean for China. This transcript was prepared by a transcription service.

   China's Evergrande Crisis - The Journal. - WSJ Podcasts

   www.wsj.com/podcasts/the-journal/china-evergrande-crisis/0f3eb57d-5e1b-4694-87e0-0293e321df8b

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3. www.linkedin.com › pulse › navigating-financialNavigating Financial Turbulence: Black Swans vs. Grey Rhinos ...

   www.linkedin.com › pulse › navigating-financial

   Feb 14, 2024 · The Evergrande Group's predicament exemplifies a Grey Rhino event. The real estate giant's financial struggles, marked by excessive debt and liquidity challenges, have been...

4. www.thehindu.com › news › internationalEvergrande | The ‘grey rhino’ of China’s property boom

   www.thehindu.com › news › international

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   Sep 30, 2021 · Evergrande | The ‘grey rhino’ of China’s property boom. With the real estate giant facing the heat of mounting debt, the country’s rulers face a dilemma: should they let the company fail,...

5. www.chicagobooth.edu › review › capitalisntCapitalisn’t: Is Evergrande Really China’s Lehman Moment?

   www.chicagobooth.edu › review › capitalisnt

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   And I think that’s the thing that Evergrande has brought back to the fore, just how dependent China is on investment. Luigi: Some people have used the analogy that this is a gray rhino rather than a black swan—something completely unexpected—it’s a rhino that everybody expects to charge, and so there is no surprise to that. Is this ...

6. thechinaproject.com › 2022/10/21 › gray-rhinos-andGray rhinos and risk awareness in China and the U.S. — Q&A ...

   thechinaproject.com › 2022/10/21 › gray-rhinos-and

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   Oct 21, 2022 · Why did the concept of the gray rhino — a big, obvious threat some people nonetheless ignore or neglect — so capture the imagination of Chinese officials and journalists and businesspeople? I spoke to the inventor of the concept to find out.

7. www.scmp.com › economy › china-economyOpinion | China Evergrande is not a Lehman Brothers moment ...

   www.scmp.com › economy › china-economy

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   Sep 20, 2021 · For Chinese authorities, the debacle has become another “grey rhino” to deal with. For years, Beijing has warned that debt-fuelled property development is not sustainable and tried to contain...

8. www.wsj.com › podcasts › the-journalChina's Evergrande Crisis - The Journal. - WSJ Podcasts

   www.wsj.com › podcasts › the-journal

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   Sep 28, 2021 · Evergrande played close to the financial edge for years. He says there's a term that's popular in China that describes this kind of situation. It's called the gray rhino.