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Aug 18, 2021 · In the 2020 election, FiveThirtyEight yet again way overestimates the strength of Joe Biden. RealClearPolitics also did but was slightly more accurate. ----- My Conclusion: 538 takes other peoples polls, changes the data, and then calls their version more accurate. The task is on them (538) to prove why their editorial methods have value in the ...
Jan 21, 2016 · Scraping data from RCP (RealClearPolitics) RCP provides a wonderful web interface for looking at aggregated poling data. For example, shown here is a lovely chart (via D3.js) which shows you the RCP average polling data for each candidate on the democratic side as a time series where you can sort by a custom time range or various selections ...
Oct 18, 2020 · Fivethirtyeight weights polls based on past performance and methodology. And they also include polls from over two weeks ago, but their weighting depends on the quality and quantity of recent polling. TL;DR: RCP only averages polls over the last two weeks. Fivethirtyeight uses fancy math to make their best guess based on available polling. 34.
Ramaswamy on 2024 Polls: We're On Or Ahead Of The Same Trajectory As Trump In 2015 ( realclearpolitics.com) submitted 9 days ago by Rough_Assignment2516 to r/2024elections. Cornel West: Trump pushes us towards a Second Civil War at home while Biden pushes us towards World War III abroad.
Mar 22, 2020 · ReallyClearPolitics. A subreddit dedicated to clarifying the American political landscape through analysis and vetted articles, historical context, and intelligent discussion. 1 Members. 2 Online.
Aug 18, 2021 · In the 2020 election, the differences were less dramatic and they both overestimated the (other) column, but yet again RealClearPolitics was slightly more accurate. My conclusion is that even if 538's numbers are more correct in 2024, it is because a broken clock is right twice a day. 538's methods are junk, which have produced junk results.
Jun 12, 2024 · So I think it’s helpful in accessing different points of view from all sides. That said there are lots of posts from very right-wing sources (alongside stuff from Mother Jones). It definitely requires critical thinking to engage. As to how they treat Buttigieg specifically, I haven’t paid too close attention.
I believe RealClearPolitics may be designed to inflate Trump’s poll numbers and make democrats less comfortable about the election. On their site, they use about 10 unique polling stations, and 3 of those seem obviously biased towards republicans. Rasmussen, Harris, and FOX News appear to consistently be higher than the other polling agencies ...
Aug 30, 2020 · I trust 538 more. 538 is a data site that features politics; RCP is a politics site that features data. Not saying RCP is wrong necessarily, but if there is a discrepency between the two I will trust 538 first. 538 also rates and weights pollsters based on their methodology and historical performance; as far as i know RCP does not do this.
Aug 18, 2021 · In the 2020 election, the differences between 538 and RCP were less dramatic. They both overestimated the (other) column and underestimated Trump, but yet again RealClearPolitics was slightly more accurate. ----- My Conclusion: 538 takes other peoples polls, changes the data, and then calls their version more accurate. The task is on them (538 ...
