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  2. Sep 10, 2021 · Toronto has to beat only one of its division rivals to make the playoffs, assuming it stays ahead of Seattle and Oakland. The Blue Jays, meanwhile, get to play 14 of their final 23 games...

    • Catching The Yankees
    • Catching The Red Sox
    • In The Rear-View Mirror
    • Tiebreak Chaos

    A sweep of the Yankees is the clearest path to a wild card for the Blue Jays. Taking all three games would put them up a game on New York and combined with another sweep of the Orioles this weekend, clinch them a playoff berth, regardless of what else happens. A sweep also creates a tiny margin for error against Baltimore this weekend, allowing Tor...

    The Blue Jays, no matter what they do, need some help to catch the Red Sox, who are at Baltimore and Washington to finish the campaign. If Boston goes 6-0, they can’t be caught. At 5-1, only a perfect week from the Blue Jays would be enough to catch them. A week of 5-1 or better is certainly in the realm for the Red Sox, who are 12-4 so far this se...

    Seattle (87-70) is the team that just won’t go away, sitting one game back of the Blue Jays in the standings. Unlike their expansion cousins, the Mariners can’t sneak into a wild-card spot without help, as even a 6-0 homestand against Oakland (85-72) and the Angels would leave them two games short absent losses from the teams ahead of them. The Ath...

    Given how tight the standings are, tiebreakers are certainly a possibility and there are a number of different scenarios. To keep this from getting too complicated, we’re going to assume no more than a three-way tie. By virtue of winning the season series against both the Blue Jays and Yankees (10-9 against both), the Red Sox hold the tiebreaker ov...

  3. Sep 10, 2021 · A look at the 2021 American League wildcard race, the Toronto Blue Jays postseason odds, and their playoff chances against.

  4. Sep 21, 2023 · The Jays will clinch a playoff berth no matter what the other teams do if they go 6-4 in their remaining 10 games.

  5. Aug 23, 2021 · FanGraphs now has the club at a 10.7% chance to make the postseason, FiveThirtyEighty at 15%, and Baseball Reference is most optimistic at 18.7%. They're nowhere near mathematical elimination...

  6. Oct 3, 2021 · In fact, per FanGraphs, Toronto's chances of making the playoffs were considerably lower at the start of the month: Sept. 1: 10 percent chance of making the postseason Sept. 7: 37 percent

  7. Oct 1, 2021 · The Jays had about a 2-in-3 chance of making the playoffs and all the makings of a trendy World Series pick. Now, heading into their final three games of the regular season, Toronto's...

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