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Jan 14, 2024 · India Is the Latest Member of a Growing Assassination Club. Cross-border murders have returned as a tool of statecraft. January 14, 2024, 7:00 AM. By Justin Ling, a journalist based in Toronto....
- Justin Ling
Sep 3, 2024 · CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.
- Introductionback to Top
- Understanding These Resultsback to Top
- Highlights from The 2021–22 Statistical Risk Assessment Back to Top
- Key Questions Users Should Askback to Top
- Syria: The Difference Between New Onsets and Continuing Mass Killingback to Top
- A Tool For Assessing Counterfactuals: The Example of Afghanistanback to Top
- Methodsback to Top
- Conclusionback to Top
The Early Warning Project’s Statistical Risk Assessment uses publicly available data and statistical modeling to produce a list of countries ranked by their estimated risk of experiencing a new episode, or onset, of mass killing. Policy makers face the challenge of simultaneously responding to ongoing mass atrocities, such as those in Burma, China,...
Before discussing the results, we underscore five points about interpreting this Statistical Risk Assessment: First, as a statistical matter, mass killings are rare. On average, just over one percent of countries see a new mass killing in any given year—that means one or two countries. Our risk model predicts a similar number of new episodes of mas...
Our model generates a single risk estimate for each country, representing the estimated risk for a new state-led or non-state-led mass killing. Figure 2 displays the estimated risk in 2021 or 2022 for the 30 highest-ranked countries. For every country in the top 30, we recommend that policy makers consider whether they are devoting sufficient atten...
The results of this risk assessment should be a starting point for discussion and further analysis of opportunities for preventive action. For countries in each of the following categories, we recommend asking certain key questions to gain a fuller understanding of the risks, adequacy of policy response, and to identify additional useful lines of i...
Some readers may be surprised that a country like Syria, where the scale and intensity of the war crimes and crimes against humanity are well-known, does not rank among the highest-risk countries in our assessment.
The data used to produce this assessment is from 2020 (published by most sources in early- to mid-2021). This means that changes that occurred in 2021 are not captured in this risk assessment. To enable users to explore how such changes might affect a country’s risk estimate and ranking, our online platform has an interactive data toolthat allows u...
To produce this assessment, we employ data and statistical methods designed to maximize the accuracy and practical utility of the results. Our model assesses the risk for onset of both state-led and non-state-led mass killings over a two-year period.
Early warning is a crucial element of effective atrocity prevention. The purpose of our statistical risk assessment is to provide one practical tool to the public for assessing risk in countries worldwide. This tool should enable policy makers, civil society, and other analysts to focus attention and resources on countries at highest risk, especial...
Mass Killing Onsets and Endings through 2023. In this annual report, we identify and discuss countries that experienced a new onset of state- or nonstate-led mass killing in the previous year, as well as cases that we determine to have ended. Read Report.
Assassination Nation is a 2018 American satirical black comedy horror thriller film [7] [8] [9] [10] written and directed by Sam Levinson. It stars an ensemble cast led by Odessa Young, Suki Waterhouse, Hari Nef, and Abra.
May 1, 2024 · EXPLAINER. News | Government. Indian spies linked to killings, tracking dissidents abroad: What we know. Is India’s spy agency increasingly targeting dissidents and separatists abroad? Here’s a...
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Jan 17, 2024 · But with a lack of consequences, and with even champions of the international order deploying targeted killings to advance their foreign policy, the club of assassination nations has only grown. India appears to be the newest member.