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  1. 1 day ago · Explore Electoral College scenarios. Both Harris and Trump have states they can probably count on to get at least 200 electoral votes, but they need to get to 270 to win. Let’s zoom in on seven ...

  2. Kamala Harris is ahead on 49%, Donald Trump is on 46%. Source: 538/ABC News • Updated: 18 Oct 2024. Harris saw a bounce in her polling numbers in the first few weeks of her campaign, building a ...

  3. 1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  4. 1 day ago · Kamala Harris. Vice-president. At 59, Ms Harris is more than two decades younger than Joe Biden, whom she replaced as the Democratic nominee. Her mother was an endocrinologist born in India; her ...

  5. 2 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

  6. 1 day ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Aug. 1, 2024 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 48.6% Trump 46.0% Oct. 16, 2024 leader Oct. 16, 2024 leader Harris Harris +2.6. KEY.

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  8. Aug 1, 2024 · Methodology and sources. We use head-to-head presidential election polls in each state to calculate both an average voting intention and a range of likely values for Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. States are considered ‘tossups’ if a candidate’s polling average lead is less than 5 percentage points, ‘leaning’ if it is between 5 and ...