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  1. 1 day ago · Latest updates. Our latest forecast shows a toss-up race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Harris has a 56-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral...

    • G. Elliott Morris
  2. 2 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024...

  3. 1 day ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024...

  4. 23 hours ago · Overall, Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump in The New York Times’s average of national polls, while the race remains extraordinarily close in the seven key battleground states. No candidate...

  5. Aug 14, 2024 · Today, 57% of voters under 30 say they support Harris, while 29% support Trump and 12% prefer Kennedy. In July, 48% of these voters said they backed Biden. Trump’s support among this group is essentially unchanged.

    • Reem Nadeem
  6. 1 day ago · Once all votes are counted, the results must be certified by Congress. Normally a pro-forma event, in 2021 Mr Trumps supporters stormed the Capitol building to stop the certification. He is...

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  8. 1 day ago · The polls could underestimate Harris’s or Trumps support. A polling average is the best way to understand the state of play in a presidential race, but as we know from previous presidential...