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  1. 1 day ago · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trumps chances of winning.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  2. 13 hours ago · “The party that [Trump] has remade in his image is not going to change overnight, no matter what happens next week.” Meanwhile, Harris has been running a carefully calibrated, centrist campaign.

  3. At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in all of the swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s...

  4. 1 day ago · New polls reset the presidential race to a dead heat. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president.

  5. 2 days ago · Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the Presidency, in 19 Maps. Mr. Sosnik was a senior adviser to President Bill Clinton from 1994 to 2000 and has advised more than 50 governors and U.S ...

  6. Oct 11, 2024 · Brandon Bell/Getty Images. Kamala Harris currently retains a very slight edge over Donald Trump in this election. But Trump could still very well win, and when Democrats privately discuss how...

  7. 1 day ago · This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.

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