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  1. At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in all of the swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s...

  2. 1 day ago · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trumps chances of winning.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  3. 1 day ago · Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the Presidency, in 19 Maps. Mr. Sosnik was a senior adviser to President Bill Clinton from 1994 to 2000 and has advised more than 50 governors and U.S ...

  4. Oct 20, 2024 · Wisconsin Republicans, for example, preemptively signaled at an Oct. 1 news conference that the party doesn’t intend to use its electors unless Trump and Vance are the certified winners.

  5. 8 hours ago · Ms. Cheney, a former congresswoman from Wyoming, has emerged as one of Mr. Trump’s most prominent Republican critics, and she has campaigned extensively for his Democratic opponent, Vice ...

  6. 1 day ago · Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details...

  7. 1 day ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024...

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