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  1. 2 days ago · Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the Presidency, in 19 Maps. Mr. Sosnik was a senior adviser to President Bill Clinton from 1994 to 2000 and has advised more than 50 governors and U.S ...

  2. 1 day ago · This chart shows how the polling margin in Ohio has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.

  3. 1 day ago · Polling in Pennsylvania caused Kamala Harris’s chances of being the next president to swell by four percentage points today. Of the eight pollsters who published polls of Pennsylvania, the ...

  4. At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in all of the swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s very...

  5. 3 days ago · Who’s ahead in Ohio? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  6. 4 hours ago · Nov. 2. 46% Moreno Moreno. 48% Brown Brown. About this data. Note: Individual poll results are shown as circles for each candidate. Polls with greater weight in the average have larger circles ...

  7. 1 day ago · The probability of each outcome below, according to our simulations. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 8 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 2 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 37 out of 100.