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  1. At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in all of the swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s...

  2. 1 day ago · UPDATED Nov. 2, 2024, at 8:44 AM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 50 times out...

    • G. Elliott Morris
  3. 4 hours ago · Harris leads Trump 49% to 48% among likely voters nationwide and has the same slim margin in the seven battleground states, according to a HarrisX/Forbes poll released Thursday. The survey of ...

  4. 2 days ago · This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.

  5. 1 day ago · Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the Presidency, in 19 Maps. Mr. Sosnik was a senior adviser to President Bill Clinton from 1994 to 2000 and has advised more than 50 governors and U.S ...

  6. 1 day ago · The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to raise funds and...

  7. 1 day ago · Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details...

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