Search results
At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in all of the swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s...
1 day ago · UPDATED Nov. 2, 2024, at 8:44 AM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 50...
- G. Elliott Morris
1 day ago · Voter history and recent polling suggest that Mr. Trump’s safest battleground state is North Carolina, which Republicans have won in all but one presidential election since 1976. Ms. Harris and ...
Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president.
2 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and...
1 day ago · The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to raise funds and...
2 days ago · If the polls miss in Trump’s favor Trump could win by a larger electoral college margin if the polls are underestimating him even slightly. Here’s one possibility.