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  1. The polls have underestimated support for Trump in the last two elections and the national polling error in 2020 was the highest in 40 years according to a post-mortem by polling experts - so ...

  2. 2 days ago · New polls reset the presidential race to a dead heat. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president.

  3. Oct 22, 2024 · The fact that both of those groups are increasing in the electorate, while Trump’s best cohort is shrinking, may give Harris a small swell in her sails. “The growing parts of the population ...

  4. 2 days ago · The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to raise funds and...

  5. Next Tuesday, she will shift focus to Washington DC, with a rally reportedly planned by the National Mall, where Trump spoke before some of his supporters attacked the US Capitol.

  6. Oct 21, 2024 · Our latest forecast shows that Mr Trump has a 54% chance of returning to the White House, up six percentage points during the past week. Although the race still remains more or less a coin...

  7. 1 day ago · Donald Trump could use that to challenge the result. ... Last week, the right-wing influencer Ian Miles Cheong shared a survey with his 1.1 million followers on X. ... Yet even a slight shift in ...

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