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1 day ago · The probability of each outcome below, according to our simulations. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 9 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 3 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 36 out of 100.
- G. Elliott Morris
17 hours ago · About this data Note: Head-to-head average shown for the Biden vs. Trump matchup. The Harris vs. Trump average includes polls conducted before Biden dropped out and polls that included Robert F ...
1 day ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Aug. 1, 2024 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 48.1% Trump 46.7% Oct. 27, 2024 leader Oct. 27, 2024 leader Harris Harris +1.4. KEY.
1 day ago · State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.
Who is leading national polls? Harris has had a small lead over Trump in the national polling averages since she entered the race at the end of July and she remains ahead - as shown in the chart ...
1 day ago · For the purposes of estimating characteristics such as pollster-level biases, our tracker incorporates surveys that included Donald Trump and Joe Biden up until July 21st, when Mr Biden withdrew ...
In July, 32% of registered voters had a positive view of Harris, versus 50% who saw her in a negative light (-18 net rating) — almost identical to Biden’s rating. But in this new poll, Harris ...
