Search results
Jul 8, 2024 · Updated 5 July 2024. Current Prediction: Labour majority 174. Prediction based on opinion polls from 04 Jul 2024 to 04 Jul 2024, sampling 1,000 people. Probability of possible outcomes. Probability of being the largest party. The future is never certain.
- Scotland
Scotland has a distinct political make-up and its politics...
- Vulnerable Seats
Seat: County/Area: Predicted Change MP as at 2024; Basildon...
- UK Predictions
Current Election Prediction. Our current headline prediction...
- Electoral Calculus
CURRENT PREDICTION. UK General Election Prediction. Our...
- Scotland
A projection of how the UK would vote if a General Election would be held today, based on current polling weighted by recency and historic pollster accuracy.
CURRENT PREDICTION. UK General Election Prediction. Our current poll-of-polls predicts what would happen if there were a general election tomorrow. Full details of our current prediction.
- Election Trends and Insights
- General Election 2024
- Commentary 26 June 2024
- Commentary 21 June 2024
- Commentary 7 June 2024
- A Voter's Guide to MRP
- Tactical Voting
- Voter Migration since 2019
- Liberal Democrat Fortunes at the Next General Election
- Commentary January 2024
- Commentary November 2023
- By-elections are not good predictors
- Labour set for landslide in new MRP poll
- New Council Wards 2023
- Commentary 12 July 2024
- Commentary 4 July 2024
- Predicted Votes 26 June 2024
- Expected Seats
All polls, trends and election news for the the United Kingdom, Scotland and London — Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, Brexit Party, SNP, Greens, Scottish independence referendum and Scotland election polls.
- Catherine Bouris
The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.
Jul 9, 2024 · Labour is extremely likely to win the July 4th general election. Last updated on July 9th 2024. If the election were held tomorrow. Seat predictions. Editor’s note (July 5th 2024): Labour won a...
Jul 4, 2024 · Labour leads the Conservatives by more than 19 points in the FT’s aggregation of national voting intention polls, suggesting the UK’s main opposition party is on course to win a large majority...
