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Jul 8, 2024 · Updated 5 July 2024. Current Prediction: Labour majority 174. Prediction based on opinion polls from 04 Jul 2024 to 04 Jul 2024, sampling 1,000 people. Probability of possible outcomes. Probability of being the largest party. The future is never certain.
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Current Election Prediction. Our current headline prediction...
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CURRENT PREDICTION. UK General Election Prediction. Our...
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A projection of how the UK would vote if a General Election would be held today, based on current polling weighted by recency and historic pollster accuracy.
CURRENT PREDICTION. UK General Election Prediction. Our current poll-of-polls predicts what would happen if there were a general election tomorrow. Full details of our current prediction.
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All polls, trends and election news for the the United Kingdom, Scotland and London — Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, Brexit Party, SNP, Greens, Scottish independence referendum and Scotland election polls.
- Catherine Bouris
The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.
Jul 9, 2024 · Labour is extremely likely to win the July 4th general election. Last updated on July 9th 2024. If the election were held tomorrow. Seat predictions. Editor’s note (July 5th 2024): Labour won a...
Jul 4, 2024 · Labour leads the Conservatives by more than 19 points in the FT’s aggregation of national voting intention polls, suggesting the UK’s main opposition party is on course to win a large majority...