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  1. Explain your answer using experimental probabilities. 18. CHALLENGE You randomly draw a marble from a bag containing white, red, and blue marbles. The odds against drawing a white marble are 47 : 3. a. There are fewer than 100 marbles in the bag. How many marbles are in the bag? Justify your answer. b. The probability of drawing a red marble is ...

  2. Probability is the underlying concept of inferential statistics and forms a direct link between samples and the population that they come from. In this chapter we will focus only on the principles and ideas necessary to lay the groundwork for future inferential statistics.

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  3. If you draw 2 cards at random from a standard deck, what are the odds against them both being ♠ ♠? Answer. The sample space for this experiment is {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. Two of those outcomes are in the event “roll a five or higher,” while four are not. So, the odds for rolling a five or higher are 2: 4 = 1: 2 2: 4 = 1: 2.

  4. Probability refers to the likelihood of an event occurring. It can be expressed as a number (0.5) or a percentage (50%). Statistical tests allow psychologists to work out the probability that their results could have occurred by chance, and in general psychologists use a probability level of 0.05.

  5. In the following exercises, find the odds in favor of events with the given probabilities. Give your answer as a ratio of whole numbers. If neither of those two numbers is 1, also give an answer as a ratio involving both 1 and a number greater than or equal to 1 (for example, the odds 5: 2 and 3: 8 can be reduced to 2.5: 1 and 1: 2.67).

  6. Probability. How likely something is to happen. Many events can't be predicted with total certainty. The best we can say is how likely they are to happen, using the idea of probability.

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  8. Let p = P(A) be the probability that event A occurs, and let q = 1− p be the probability that A does not occur. (i) If p ≥ 0.50, then we define the odds in favor of A to be the ratio be simplified algebraically). (ii) If p < 0.50, then we define the odds against A to be the ratio q simplified algebraically).