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Apr 16, 2021 · The initial Caesars William Hill win total projections for the 2021 NFL season are out, so where does your team fall in the over/under debate?
- 2021 NFL schedule winners, best matchups, win total ... - ESPN
Tampa Bay has the league's easiest projected schedule based...
- NFL 2021 team previews - Bold predictions, breakout ... - ESPN
The 2020 second-round pick has been nearly unblockable...
- 2021 NFL schedule winners, best matchups, win total ... - ESPN
May 13, 2021 · Tampa Bay has the league's easiest projected schedule based on my evaluation of each 2021 roster. The Bucs face the NFC and AFC East divisions, which aren't particularly intimidating, and...
Sep 6, 2021 · The 2020 second-round pick has been nearly unblockable throughout the preseason. If he can bring consistent pressure this season, it will be a huge boost for a defensive line that was...
- NFL Preseason Predictions Performance
- 2021 NFL Preseason Predictions & Highlights
- AFC Preseason Predictions 2021
- NFC Preseason Predictions 2021
- 2021 Prediction Highlights
- 2021 NFL Playoffs Projections
- How We Create Our 2021 NFL Preseason Predictions
- Exactly What Do These 2021 NFL Preseason Predictions Mean?
- Why Is A Simulation-Driven Approach Valuable?
Before we get to the 2021 predictions, a quick note on their historical accuracy. Significant year-to-year accuracy fluctuations are always possible, but so far our preseason NFL predictions have proven to be been quite solid. Michael Lopez, the NFL’s current Director of Data and Analytics, found our preseason projections to be the most accurate sy...
Remember that during the regular season and playoffs, we update these predictions every day on our NFL projected standings page. These predictions are based on our preseason ratings, which have also been released. Quick Links To Predictions By Conference: AFC | NFC Additional Info: How do we come up with these predictions? Exactly what do these num...
Remember, the NFL expanded to a 17-game schedule, and this year, all the AFC teams get to host an NFC team in that extra game. Kansas City, followed by Baltimore and Buffalo, lead the way in our projected odds to reach the playoffs. But those are the only three teams with a greater than 65% chance of reaching the playoffs in the AFC, a conference w...
The teams with the two highest win projections in the NFC also happen to have met in the NFC Title Game last year. Tampa Bay leads the way, and also benefits from a division with plenty of turnover as the New Orleans Saints will be without Drew Brees at quarterback for the first time in 16 years. Green Bay moves into the second position with Aaron ...
Worst To First?
Based on our 2021 preseason projections, which teams are most likely to go from worst in their division in 2020 to first in their divisions in 2021? Since 2002, a last-place division finisher has jumped to first place the next season no less than 21 different times. That’s slightly more than 1 last-to-first jump per season, on average. Last year, it was Washington pulling it off in the NFC East, where 7-9 was good enough to qualify for the playoffs. Our projections this year have San Francisc...
Based on our preseason predictions, we can project the overall playoff picture for each conference at the close of the 2021 regular season.
As we noted in our explainer article on how we create NFL preseason rankings, we have identified a set of team-level metrics that have demonstrated utility for projecting a team’s upcoming season results. We identified these metrics by reviewing over a decade’s worth of NFL data and applying significance tests to any interesting looking findings. W...
It’s important to understand how our system generates the results it does, and precisely what they mean. Here are the key details: 1. We end up projecting a lot of fractional wins.That obviously can’t happen in real life. But we don’t want to reduce precision in the numbers just to make them look prettier. For example, a projected 9.6 win team has ...
Despite some limitations, our data- and simulation-driven approach to making preseason NFL predictions has some clear advantages over alternative prediction methods. Human NFL “experts” (some of them, at least) can be decent at projecting the future performance level of a team — especially one they’ve studied closely. But on the whole, humans tend ...
- New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Patriots vs. Eagles date and time: Thursday, August 19 at 7:30 p.m. Patriots vs. Eagles spread: Patriots -1.5.
- Kansas City Chiefs vs. Arizona Cardinals. Chiefs vs. Cardinals date and time: Friday, August 20 at 8 p.m. Chiefs vs. Cardinals spread: Chiefs -2.5. Chiefs vs. Cardinals over-under: 41.
- Cincinnati Bengals vs. Washington Football Team. Bengals vs. Washington date and time: Friday, August 20 at 8 p.m. Bengals vs. Washington spread: Washington -4.5.
- Buffalo Bills vs. Chicago Bears. Bills vs. Bears date and time: Saturday, August 21 at 1 p.m. Bills vs. Bears spread: Bears -5. Bills vs. Bears over-under: 38.5.
Jan 14, 2022 · Let's predict this season's playoffs, starting with how far the AFC's top-seeded team can go. Sam Acho, NFL analyst: I'm doubling down on my midseason pick. After three wins to end the...
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Feb 13, 2022 · FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl.