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Nov 7, 2022 · We analyzed elections in New Jersey to determine who we think will win in 2022. See our election dashboard and find your local races.
5 days ago · Kim wins the seat 97 times out of 100. in our simulations of the 2024 Senate election. Bashaw wins the seat 3 times out of 100. Kim. 000. Bashaw. 000. simulations. Kim wins.
35 U.S. Senate seats to be contested in 2022. The U.S. Senate has 50 Republicans and 50 Democrats (including two independents). Democrats control the chamber as the vice-president can break tie votes. There are 35 seats up in 2022 - including a special election in Oklahoma - of which 21 are held by the GOP. That party can retake control with a ...
The Democratic candidate is believed to have an edge, as New Jersey voters have not elected a Republican to the Senate in more than a half century. Rep. Andy Kim (D-3rd) won the three-way Democratic primary, while Cape May hotelier Curtis Bashaw bested three other candidates to become the Republican nominee.
Nov 8, 2022 · See how each party’s forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the Senate have changed over time. The forecast updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new poll. Our model...
1 day ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024...
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Jun 1, 2022 · Republicans successfully defended 12 of their 16 open seats for a success rate of 75% while Democrats successfully defended 12 of their 17 open seats for a success rate of 71%. State presidential partisanship was also a powerful predictor of Senate election results during these years, reflecting the increasing nationalization of these contests.