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  1. Oct 10, 2024 · Dr Lichtman is an outlier. Most political analysts watching the Harris and Trump campaigns battle it out believe the election is simply too close to call.

    • Norman Hermant
  2. Sep 29, 2024 · For those who don't know, Lichtman 77, has correctly predicted 9 out of the past 10 presidential elections dating back to 1984. And this election he has predicted Kamala Harris will win the...

  3. 4 days ago · It’s a busy time for Allan Lichtman ’67, the so-called “prediction professor” who has built a national profile correctly forecasting the outcome of U.S. presidential elections since 1984 using his Keys to the White House prediction system. Lichtman is a distinguished professor of history at American University.

  4. Oct 16, 2024 · One possible answer is that, in fact, he isnt. Lichtman developed his method in 1981 in collaboration with Vladimir Keilis-Borok, a Russian mathematical geophysicist. Lichtman had a hunch,...

  5. 1 day ago · 1:24. Historian Allan Lichtman, who has accurately predicted nine of the last 10 presidential elections, said he still thinks Kamala Harris will beat Donald Trump but that he feels particularly ...

  6. Sep 24, 2024 · Polls are limited, but so is any model or prediction, including Dr. Lichtman’s 13 Keys approach. Consulting Multiple Prediction Models May Yield the Best Results. Let me be clear: no one should be criticized for not perfectly anticipating close elections like those in 2000 and 2016.

  7. Aug 13, 2024 · Presidential historian Allan Lichtman's "Keys to the White House" model has long been hailed as a reliable predictor of U.S. election outcomes. Developed in 1981, the model uses 13 true/false...

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