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  1. 2 days ago · This scenario occurred in the elections of 2016 and 2000 as well as three times in the 1800s. In recent years, voter turnout in the US has increased. In 2020, for instance, over 158 million people voted in the presidential election. The turnout marked 65.9% of the voting age population and a significant increase from the 59.2% seen in 2016.

  2. A total of 538 electoral college votes are up for grabs, so a candidate needs to hit 270 to win. There are 50 states in the US but because most of them nearly always vote for the same party, in...

  3. 2 days ago · 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added...

  4. 2 days ago · Nationwide, Harris now has her smallest lead in our average since the Democratic convention. Most of the major national polls have showed a shift toward Trump since their prior surveys.

  5. Oct 3, 2024 · 538’s Swing-O-Matic shows what could happen in the 2024 election if Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump gains ground with different demographic groups — and if turnout...

  6. 3 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which...

  7. Oct 22, 2024 · The 2024 election is on Tuesday, 5 November 2024. The winner will serve a term of four years in the White House, starting in January 2025. The president has the power to pass some laws on their...

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