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Feb 4, 2018 · FiveThirtyEight's 2017 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl.
- How Our 2017 NFL Predictions Work
How Our 2017 NFL Predictions Work Share on Facebook Share on...
- How Our 2017 NFL Predictions Work
Pick every game of the NFL 2021-2022 Season with Playoff Predictors and see who will make the playoffs.
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- Jonathan Jones
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- Melissa Jacobs
- Jacob Feldman
- Andrew Perloff
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- Mitch Goldich
The Packers just aren’t good enough against the run to defeat the Cowboys, and Dallas can limit Green Bay's big plays in the pass game. Chiefs are a worthy opponent for Patriots, but Andy Reid and Alex Smith are just too conservative to take down Tom Brady and Bill Belichickat Gillette. You have to put the foot down and never let up to do it, and R...
Preseason, I had Patriots-Seahawks in the Super Bowl; mid-season, I went with Patriots-Packers. So, there’s one constant in those picks. K.C. or Pittsburgh is capable of pulling off a title-game win in Foxborough, but New England has the most complete team in that conference. The NFC is more of a crapshoot—hence my constantly changing conference ch...
Two months ago I had the Vikings as the No. 1 seed in the NFC and Denver as the No. 2 in the AFC. Let’s forget about all that and simply remember I had the Patriots winning it all. Atlanta hasn’t gotten the credit it deserves all year, and the Falcons have enough firepower to outgun the Packers in the NFC title game. But when they run into the best...
In a season that lacked dominant teams, one stood out, from beginning to end. Whether Tom Brady was sitting out his suspension or carving up defenses, whether Rob Gronkowski was healthy or hurt, whether Michael Floyd was playing for the Cardinals or the Patriots, it didn't matter. New England won and won and won and won. It's hard to see any other ...
The only team in the AFC that might have a chance to beat the Patriots is the Chiefs, but I’m not betting against Brady and Belichick in the playoffs— especially when they are in the midst of their own version of Sherman’s March to the Sea through the NFL and Roger Goodell this season. And because the NFC is completely wide open (I debated between ...
No pun intended, but Connor Cook is an absolute wild card, perhaps not yet self-aware enough to grasp the enormity of the playoffs. This can be a good thing. Brock Osweiler is no mystery—he’s been an absolute disappointment this season, and it’s easy to envision him crumbling under pressure. The Steelers’ secondary—which has only allowed nine touch...
Though I’m tempted to stick with my Packers-Chiefs preseason prediction or my Packers-Steelers midseason pick, it’s time to face facts. New England is—once again—the NFL’s best team. And, given their seemingly unending supply of good fortune, they’ll probably avoid a hot Steelers team on their way to Houston. While I’m switching things up, the Falc...
The NFC playoffs could play out like 2014, when a few moments—a Dez Bryant non-catch, an onside kick, a botched pass interference call—determined everything. Which historical narrative repeats itself here: The ’14 Seahawks? The ’07 or ’11 Giants? The ’10 Packers? I’m sticking with my preseason pick, Green Bay, because of Aaron Rodgers’s ability to ...
I have a weird sense of undying devotion to my preseason crystal ball Super Bowl pick, which was Steelers over Packers. Also, this would be an incredibly boring round of predictions if we all picked New England. To be clear, the Patriots essentially have a free pass to the AFC title game, and it’s incredibly difficult to pick against them in any ca...
After the four road teams won on wild-card weekend last season, I think the home teams sweep this weekend before things get interesting. Pittsburgh and Green Bay are as hot as anyone in the league, and I think they can keep rolling into the conference championship games. In the preseason, I had Pittsburgh beating New England in the AFC title game, ...
Mar 5, 2020 · With only eight teams still alive this postseason, let’s take a look at the NFL picks and score predictions for the Divisional Round of the 2017 NFL Playoffs.
We'll be making out picks against the spreads and predicting which four teams move on to the next round.
Mar 4, 2020 · After months of anticipation, the 2017 Playoffs have finally arrived. Let’s take a look at the Wild Card round with NFL picks and score predictions for each game.
Dec 31, 2017 · Here is a look at the first weekend of the playoffs, and who we think will win: A.F.C. Wild-Card Round. No. 6 Bills (9-7) at No. 3 Jaguars (10-6) Sunday, 1 p.m. Eastern, CBS.