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Not in the realm of possibility anymore
- “A 2068 impact is not in the realm of possibility anymore, and our calculations don’t show any impact risk for at least the next 100 years,” said Davide Farnocchia of NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), which is managed by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Southern California.
science.nasa.gov/solar-system/asteroids/apophis/
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Mar 26, 2021 · The near-Earth object was thought to pose a slight risk of impacting Earth in 2068, but now radar observations have ruled that out. After its discovery in 2004, asteroid 99942 Apophis had been identified as one of the most hazardous asteroids that could impact Earth.
- Apophis - NASA Science
When Apophis made a distant flyby of Earth around March 5,...
- Apophis - NASA Science
When Apophis made a distant flyby of Earth around March 5, 2021, astronomers took the opportunity to use powerful radar observations to refine the estimate of its orbit around the Sun with extreme precision, enabling them to confidently rule out any impact risk in 2068 and long after.
Astronomers were able to use radar observations to refine their estimate of the asteroid's orbit around the Sun, allowing them to confidently rule out any impact risk in 2068 and long after.
Mar 27, 2021 · The new radar-derived orbit shows that Apophis will pass 288 m (945 feet) farther from Earth in 2029 than had been expected, enough to assure that it will miss the 600-m-wide “keyhole” in near-Earth space that would have deflected it onto a collision course in 2068.
Mar 27, 2021 · The near-Earth object was thought to pose a slight risk of impacting Earth in 2068, but now radar observations have ruled that out. Asteroid 99942 Apophis had been identified as one of the most hazardous asteroids that could impact Earth after its discovery in 2004.
- Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Mar 26, 2021 · New observations of asteroid Apophis – thought to pose a slight risk of impacting Earth in 2068 – rule out any chance of impact for at least a century. After 17 years of observations and orbit analysis, ESA is removing the enormous asteroid from its Risk List.
Apr 13, 2024 · When Apophis was discovered in 2004, the initial observations indicated a small chance that it could impact Earth in 2029, 2036 or 2068. A collision would have been devastating, and so the asteroid was named after the Egyptian god of chaos and destruction.