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  1. 2 days ago · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  2. Mar 27, 2024 · It’s not entirely evident which major-party nominee stands to lose the most from Kennedy in 2024. At the moment, it appears to be Biden. Trump does slightly better in polls including Kennedy...

    • W. James Antle III
  3. Apr 27, 2024 · Conventional wisdom, backed up by some opinion polls, says that Mr Kennedy, a member of the country's most famous - and Democratic - political family, presents more of a threat to Joe Biden than...

  4. May 16, 2024 · A late Robert F. Kennedy Jr. polling boom is unlikely. RFK Jr. is polling over 10 percent, like past independent presidential candidates George Wallace, John Anderson, and Ross Perot. They all ...

  5. Aug 26, 2024 · When he announced, Kennedy reached double digits in polls against Biden, but by the time he suspended his campaign, he’d lost most of his support, and by some measures was drawing votes mostly ...

    • David A. Graham
  6. 3 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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  8. Jan 8, 2024 · A Bloomberg-Morning Consult poll in seven swing states last month found evidence of that: 16% of Biden voters said they might vote for Kennedy or another independent candidate, while only 11%...

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