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  1. Jan 25, 2023 · You might go to bed delighted by forecasts of snow only to wake the next day greeted by rain. The UK’s erratic winter weather is caused by two things: its location and the fact that small differences in temperature can cause dramatic changes to the forecast.

    • One- to Two-Day Forecast
    • Three- to Five-Day Forecast
    • Six- to Fifteen-Day Forecast
    • 16-30 Day Outlook
    • Location Specific Forecasts
    • Chance of Rain/Snow
    • Interpreting Forecasts
    • Forecast Accuracy Product

    A detailed forecast of what's to come today and tomorrow, for regions, towns and cities describing the expected weather, temperatures and wind speeds along with detailed and timely warnings of severe weather. It is not yet possible to pinpoint exactly where and when localised weather, such as showers or fog patches, will happen, though we are able ...

    A general picture of the weather on a day-by-day basis, with the main regional variations identified. We have a good track record in advising on any significant risk of severe weather in this period.

    A broad description of the weather likely to be affecting the UK, including significant changes in the type of weather. We'll also give a risk assessment of severe weather, such as heavy rainfall, severe gales or an extended period of high or low temperatures.

    An indication of how the weather might change, or be different from normal, (i.e. warmer, colder, wetter, drier) across the whole UK. When looking at forecasts beyond five days into the future the chaotic nature of the atmosphere begins to play a larger part - small events currently over the Atlantic can have potentially significant impacts on our ...

    Our location specific forecasts are provided in hourly time steps for the first two days and then in three hourly time steps for days three to seven. These give an indication of the most likely predominant weather conditions for that location for the time specified. For example, if our forecasts models predict sunny intervals with just a small chan...

    The site specific weather symbol forecasts should be used alongside the chance of rain/snow (probability of precipitation) forecast to give a more detailed view of the likely weather. The example below shows an example where the weather is expected to be cloudy. However the 20% value in the chance of rain/snow column shows that although predominate...

    When viewing forecasts and observations it is important to remember that this is subjective and we each view actual and forecast weather in different ways. For example, what one person considers cloudy another may consider sunny intervals. It is also sometimes possible to look in one direction and it to be cloudy with a shower approaching, but to l...

    The forecast accuracy product provides a comparison between the weather we forecast and the actual weather for the current day for a number of locations across the country. You can compare the forecast we made at 6pm yesterday to the actual temperature and weather through the day. This comparison is a simple visual guide to the accuracy of our fore...

  2. Jan 11, 2024 · The UK's most significant snow events happen when warm, moist air moves in and meets cold air. But getting the detail exactly right can be frustratingly difficult.

  3. Aug 3, 2023 · Last year, four days before Britain experienced 40C for the first time, the UK’s national weather service, the Met Office, issued a red warning — announcing an 80 per cent chance of...

  4. Some weather patterns are particularly challenging when it comes to an accurate forecast for an individual location. Showers are such small-scale weather features, it is hard to predict exactly...

    • How difficult is forecasting the weather in the UK?1
    • How difficult is forecasting the weather in the UK?2
    • How difficult is forecasting the weather in the UK?3
    • How difficult is forecasting the weather in the UK?4
    • How difficult is forecasting the weather in the UK?5
  5. Find out why this is a landmark development in ensuring future improvements in forecast accuracy. Our weather models harness the processing power and computational capacity of our...

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  7. Some weather patterns are particularly challenging when it comes to an accurate forecast for an individual location. Showers are such small-scale weather features, it is hard to predict exactly...

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