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2 days ago · It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1. The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast 2 and the methodology is largely the same, other than removing COVID-19 provisions introduced for 2020. Other changes from 2020 are documented here. And an archive of the Biden-Trump forecast can be ...
2 days ago · Daily update. A new poll by Trafalgar Group showed Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 46% to 45% in Nevada. Because most Trafalgar surveys are unusually friendly to Mr Trump, our model saw...
2 days ago · In a fiery televised debateon September 10th, Ms Harris made Mr Trump look out of his depth. Her campaign also enjoys an eye-watering financial advantage, having hauled in $1bn in less than three ...
2 days ago · Aug. 1, 2024 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 48.6% Trump 46.0% Oct. 16, 2024 leader Oct. 16, 2024 leader Harris Harris +2.6. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added ...
2 days ago · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
2 days ago · Full Donald Trump & J.D. Vance 2024 rally and event schedule for upcoming and past events including start time, ticket information, and live stream information.
2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page.
