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  1. 1 day ago · The 538 team and The New York Times’s Ruth Igielnik discuss whether a vice presidential debate can impact how viewers see presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  2. 4 days ago · Former President Donald Trumps election-year message to his supporters is clear and often repeated: If Democrats win the November election, blame voter fraud. Fraud by mail-in voting.

  3. Sep 24, 2024 · Donald Trump claims US election debates against Harris and Walz are ‘rigged’. Your support helps us to tell the story. Support Now. Find out more. Vice President Kamala Harris will go...

  4. 1 day ago · This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.

  5. 1 day ago · Narrow victories in a handful of swing states will likely determine whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election on November 5. This tracker uses the latest national...

  6. 2 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024...

  7. 3 days ago · Our experts are asked to plot their decision on a scale of 100, where 0 is a Harris landslide, 50 is a tie and 100 is a Trump landslide.