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1 day ago · More than $200 million has now been raised for Teddy Roosevelt’s Presidential Library, which the New York Times has dubbed “among the most sustainable cultural institutions in the world.” The library—the first built out of mass timber—features a steel-and-timber hybrid structure anchored to a giant rock in the North Dakota Badlands ...
1 day ago · Methodology. The Economist ’s model of America’s presidential election estimates each major candidate’s chances of winning each state and the overall electoral college. Developed with a team ...
1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.
- G. Elliott Morris
Aug 1, 2024 · Methodology and sources. We use head-to-head presidential election polls in each state to calculate both an average voting intention and a range of likely values for Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. States are considered ‘tossups’ if a candidate’s polling average lead is less than 5 percentage points, ‘leaning’ if it is between 5 and ...
1 day ago · Vivek Ganapathy Ramaswamy (/ vɪˈveɪk rɑːməˈswɑːmiː /; [1][2] vih-VAYK rah-mə-SWAH-mee; born August 9, 1985) is an American entrepreneur. He founded Roivant Sciences, a pharmaceutical company, in 2014. In February 2023, Ramaswamy declared his candidacy for the Republican Party nomination in the 2024 United States presidential election.
1 day ago · This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1. The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast 2 and the methodology is largely the same, other than removing COVID-19 provisions introduced for 2020.
1 day ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.
