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Feb 2, 2023 · Moreover, one of the core hypotheses of our forecast is that polling bias is unpredictable: Polls will be biased against Republicans in some years and biased against Democrats in other years,...
- The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight
Polling bias is pretty unpredictable from election to...
- The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight
Mar 10, 2023 · Polling bias is pretty unpredictable from election to election Weighted-average statistical bias of polls in the final 21 days* before presidential, Senate, House and gubernatorial general ...
- Nathaniel Rakich
May 6, 2022 · Some ballot boxes are still sealed. Many counts won't begin for hours. But contours have emerged overnight around England that point to the eventual outcome of the choices made on Thursday by ...
May 6, 2022 · Nearly all the councils in England that held an election on Thursday have declared their results, while all the results in Scotland have been published too. They have produced the...
May 6, 2022 · Boris Johnson admits tough elections for Tories. PM cost us votes, claim defeated Tory leaders. Starmer investigated over alleged lockdown breach. The prime minister acted out his usual jollity...
Nov 27, 2022 · But there was a significant vibe shift in the fall, when Democrats’ margins on the generic ballot narrowed and they showed relative weakness in polls on issues like the economy and crime. Those ...
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Is polling bias unpredictable?
May 5, 2022 · England elections 2022. Wales local elections 2022. Scotland council elections 2022. Local elections in England, Wales and Scotland, and a general election in Northern Ireland, took place on 5...