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The World Chess Championship 2023 was a chess match between Ian Nepomniachtchi and Ding Liren to determine the new World Chess Champion. The match took place in Astana, Kazakhstan, from 9 April to 30 April 2023, and was a best of 14 games, plus tiebreaks. [1]
- Nathaniel Green
- Wilhelm Steinitz (1886-94) Steinitz is often considered the "father of positional chess." He defeated Johannes Zukertort in the first-ever world championship, held in 1886.
- Emanuel Lasker (1894-1921) Lasker, a highly practical player, was the longest-reigning world champion in chess history. He won the title from Steinitz in 1894 and held it all the way until 1921.
- Jose Raul Capablanca (1921-27) Capablanca, a chess prodigy and one of the best endgame players ever, defeated Lasker 4-0 in 1921 to become world champion.
- Alexander Alekhine (1927-35, 1937-46) Alekhine, known for his attacking play and deep combinations, is the only world champion to die while holding the title.
Apr 30, 2023 · English. GM Ding Liren is the new world champion after beating GM Ian Nepomniachtchi in the final rapid tiebreak game of the 2023 FIDE World Championship. Following a 7-7 tie in a thrilling 14-game classical match, it all came down to the final rapid game, which Ding won with Black in sensational style. GM Magnus Carlsen 's reign is no more.
- Jack Rodgers
- Prediction Methodology
- Classical Segment
- Rapid and Blitz Tiebreaks
- Simulations
- Conclusion
To create the prediction, we first have to understand the parameters of the match. 1. Classical: The match will consist of 14 classical games (two more than title matches before 2021). If one player scores 7.5 points, he is crowned the winner. 2. Rapid: If the match is tied after 14 games, a four-game rapid tiebreak with a 25+10 time controlis play...
Both players were already rated near 2700 ten years ago. Ding Liren took a steeper trajectory to reach the 2800-mark and has been consistently between 2788 and 2816 for the past four-and-a-half years. Nepomniachtchi is at his peak rating of 2795 and appears to be in his prime and still climbing! To gather data for the prediction model, I logged sta...
The odds of the match ending in the classical segment are around 79%, so that format gets the most attention to detail. Past world championships have proven to be closer in classical than rapid and blitz. I will assume that the players will also be closer in rapid than their rating gap dictates. I have Ding Liren as a slight favorite in rapid and N...
Running 1000 simulations on the classical segment, Nepomniachtchi wins 43.1% of the time and Ding Liren 36.2% of the time, with a 20.7% chance of a tiebreaker. Next, I ran another 1000 simulations to estimate the odds of each player winning in the event of the match going to the rapid segment. The same exercise was completed for the blitz tiebreake...
The online odds for this match are about 55-45 for Ian Nepomniachtchi, which is close to my prediction of 54-46. Who do you think will win the match? What do you place the odds at? Let us know in the comments below!
Apr 30, 2023 · 4/30/2023 – By winning game 4 of the rapid tiebreakers — after three draws — Ding Liren became the 17th undisputed world chess champion! Ian Nepomniachtchi seemed to have things under control in the deciding game, and even a bit of an advantage at times, but he overestimated his chances and allowed Ding to get a dangerous passer.
The World Championship Match 2023 will take place in Astana, Kazakhstan, from April 7 to May 1. The historical pinnacle of the FIDE World Championship Cycle, the Match decides who is going to reign the chess world for the next two years. The champion is determined in 14 games and a tiebreak in case of a tie. Who will be the next World Chess Champion — Ian Nepomniachtchi or Ding Liren?
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What was the World Chess Championship 2023?
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4/30/2023 – By winning game 4 of the rapid tiebreakers — after three draws — Ding Liren became the 17th undisputed world chess champion! Ian Nepomniachtchi seemed to have things under control in the deciding game, and even a bit of an advantage at times, but he overestimated his chances and allowed Ding to get a dangerous passer.
